Signal ReportThe Quiet Oligopoly
Three companies now serve nearly all frontier AI inference. Nobody elected them. Nobody regulates them. The market consolidated before most people noticed.

The cost of running AI models in production dropped faster than anyone projected. The startups that bet on expensive inference are now repricing everything.

Coding, writing, and analyst roles show AI substitution earliest. The pipeline problem is bigger than the job-loss headline.

Blackwell demand turned chips into infrastructure allocation. Startups compete for access, not price.

Model scores keep rising. The harder question is whether tests still predict real deployment value.

Enterprise adoption is real. Whether the unit economics work at scale is the next story.

The EU AI Act is law. The enforcement mechanism, compliance cost, and competitive impact are all still unknown.

Major labels sued Suno and Udio. The real question is what happens to every other training dataset.
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